#188 Wisconsin-B (9-4)

avg: 980.67  •  sd: 67.82  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
359 Northwestern-B** Win 15-4 944.69 Ignored Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
392 Drury** Win 15-5 744.86 Ignored Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 8-15 752.62 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
261 Drake Win 15-3 1347.36 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
139 Luther Loss 11-15 786.88 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
342 Washington University-B Win 15-5 996.36 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
370 Notre Dame-B** Win 15-4 897.36 Ignored Mar 18th D III Midwestern Invite 2018
339 Northern Michigan Win 11-5 1011.11 Mar 24th Meltdown 2018
301 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 9-7 862.03 Mar 24th Meltdown 2018
427 Wisconsin-River Falls** Win 13-0 330.15 Ignored Mar 24th Meltdown 2018
49 Marquette Loss 3-15 948.36 Mar 25th Meltdown 2018
296 Eastern Illinois Win 15-4 1194.16 Mar 25th Meltdown 2018
171 Truman State Loss 9-10 913.6 Mar 25th Meltdown 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)