#396 Kentucky-B (2-11)

avg: 109.63  •  sd: 99.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
45 Illinois State** Loss 0-13 986.15 Ignored Jan 20th T Town Throwdown XIV Open
154 Mississippi Loss 6-13 514.56 Jan 20th T Town Throwdown XIV Open
63 Tulane Loss 6-13 863.68 Jan 20th T Town Throwdown XIV Open
259 Northern Illinois** Loss 4-13 152.4 Ignored Jan 20th T Town Throwdown XIV Open
335 Southern Mississippi Loss 6-13 -171.63 Jan 21st T Town Throwdown XIV Open
431 Alabama-B Win 15-7 109.63 Jan 21st T Town Throwdown XIV Open
371 Wright State Loss 10-11 169.68 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
293 Trine Loss 1-13 3.73 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
277 Eastern Michigan Loss 7-13 123.21 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
288 Ohio Northern Loss 7-14 48.48 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
299 John Carroll Loss 3-15 -11.55 Mar 25th CWRUL Memorial 2018
430 Pennsylvania-Johnstown-B Win 7-5 38.61 Mar 25th CWRUL Memorial 2018
330 Case Western Reserve-B Loss 3-13 -141.25 Mar 25th CWRUL Memorial 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)