#169 Luther (8-8)

avg: 965.12  •  sd: 76.23  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
140 Arkansas Loss 9-11 793.94 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2020
166 Colorado College Win 14-13 1097.86 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2020
138 North Texas Loss 8-14 507.86 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2020
61 Washington University Loss 5-15 824.4 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2020
202 Missouri State Win 13-4 1425.18 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2020
154 Pacific Lutheran Loss 10-11 874.44 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2020
259 Washington University-B-B Win 15-11 963.05 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2020
246 Texas-B Win 13-8 1159.27 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2020
33 Northwestern** Loss 2-11 1065.39 Ignored Mar 7th Midwest Throwdown 2020
112 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 8-10 906.91 Mar 7th Midwest Throwdown 2020
305 Illinois-B** Win 13-3 900.09 Ignored Mar 7th Midwest Throwdown 2020
331 Wisconsin-Milwaukee-B** Win 11-2 681.99 Ignored Mar 7th Midwest Throwdown 2020
145 Nebraska Win 13-5 1617.59 Mar 8th Midwest Throwdown 2020
112 Minnesota-Duluth Win 6-5 1294.57 Mar 8th Midwest Throwdown 2020
133 Missouri Loss 6-11 545.97 Mar 8th Midwest Throwdown 2020
108 Chicago Loss 6-13 582.47 Mar 8th Midwest Throwdown 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)