#89 Luther (11-3)

avg: 1396.55  •  sd: 101.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
69 Emory Win 12-10 1746.58 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
259 Florida Atlantic Win 13-5 1430.05 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
131 Chicago Win 12-10 1504.62 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
207 North Florida Win 12-7 1486.02 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
136 South Florida Loss 9-10 1112.03 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
94 Appalachian State Loss 13-14 1247.43 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
69 Emory Win 13-4 2108.46 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
264 St John's Win 9-8 933.62 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2019
306 Bethel** Win 13-2 1241.12 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2019
423 Cornell College** Win 13-4 649.86 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2019
390 Creighton** Win 13-2 874.58 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2019
264 St John's Win 15-4 1408.62 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2019
156 Minnesota-B Loss 13-14 1011.27 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2019
313 Drake** Win 15-6 1213.8 Ignored Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)