#117 Colorado Mines (13-3)

avg: 1304.9  •  sd: 84.16  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
349 Grand Canyon-B** Win 15-1 662.64 Ignored Jan 28th New Year Fest 2023
184 Denver Win 11-10 1132.98 Jan 28th New Year Fest 2023
152 Northern Arizona Win 12-10 1381.47 Jan 28th New Year Fest 2023
356 Denver-B** Win 12-3 537.71 Ignored Jan 29th New Year Fest 2023
143 Colorado-B Win 12-5 1782.73 Jan 29th New Year Fest 2023
55 Utah Valley Loss 6-13 1014.18 Jan 29th New Year Fest 2023
184 Denver Win 8-7 1132.98 Feb 18th Snow Melt 2023
247 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 9-5 1277.27 Feb 18th Snow Melt 2023
40 Colorado College Loss 6-13 1135.34 Feb 19th Snow Melt 2023
143 Colorado-B Win 9-7 1462.07 Feb 19th Snow Melt 2023
123 Miami (Ohio) Win 7-5 1600.53 Apr 1st Illinois Invite1
246 Northern Iowa Win 5-2 1348.85 Apr 1st Illinois Invite1
212 Grand Valley Win 5-0 1490.9 Apr 1st Illinois Invite1
280 Ball State** Win 13-4 1178.47 Ignored Apr 2nd Illinois Invite1
192 Wright State Loss 10-11 851.57 Apr 2nd Illinois Invite1
212 Grand Valley Win 12-5 1490.9 Apr 2nd Illinois Invite1
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)