#195 George Washington (5-10)

avg: 1003.81  •  sd: 85.33  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
85 Richmond Loss 6-13 829.7 Feb 2nd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
158 Lehigh Loss 11-12 1004.08 Feb 2nd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
197 George Mason Loss 7-13 443.86 Feb 2nd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
151 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 4-13 562.14 Feb 2nd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
158 Lehigh Win 15-14 1254.08 Feb 3rd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
114 Liberty Win 13-8 1796.27 Feb 3rd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
157 Drexel Loss 12-15 828.92 Feb 3rd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
197 George Mason Loss 12-15 700.9 Feb 3rd Mid Atlantic Warmup 2019
318 Virginia Tech-B Win 13-4 1196.5 Mar 2nd G Dub Fyre Fest 2019
62 Duke Loss 6-13 951 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2019
114 Liberty Loss 5-13 700.11 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2019
187 NYU Win 9-8 1155.6 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2019
166 Virginia Commonwealth Win 10-8 1354.49 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2019
120 James Madison Loss 8-10 1020.14 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2019
101 Connecticut Loss 8-10 1093.57 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)