#284 Tulsa (5-9)

avg: 646.62  •  sd: 82.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
152 Denver Loss 11-14 802.98 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
414 Hendrix Win 14-7 450.48 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
99 Missouri S&T Loss 5-11 737.88 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
96 Missouri State Loss 8-11 984.89 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
305 Oklahoma-B Win 11-10 686.22 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
176 Colorado State-B Loss 10-11 901.62 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
170 Kansas State Loss 3-15 459.64 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
305 Oklahoma-B Loss 5-15 -38.78 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
336 Texas-Dallas-B Win 10-7 813.97 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
351 Texas-Arlington Loss 9-11 114.27 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
258 Texas A&M-C Loss 10-13 427.06 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
217 Texas Christian Loss 9-10 763.31 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
344 Dallas Win 13-3 993.39 Mar 25th Greatest Crusade IV
338 Abilene Christian University Win 12-7 931.97 Mar 25th Greatest Crusade IV
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)