#99 Lewis & Clark (18-5)

avg: 1358.77  •  sd: 57.51  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
59 Oregon State Loss 4-13 962.19 Jan 26th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
383 Washington-C** Win 13-1 903.69 Ignored Jan 26th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
180 Humboldt State Win 13-8 1554.59 Jan 26th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
58 Whitman Loss 5-15 979.65 Jan 26th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
121 Puget Sound Win 15-11 1662.19 Jan 27th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
116 Nevada-Reno Loss 11-15 912.55 Jan 27th Flat Tail Open 2019 Mens
74 Arizona Win 9-7 1758.43 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
41 Las Positas Loss 8-12 1237.38 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
241 Washington-B Win 11-5 1488.48 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
100 California-Santa Cruz Loss 9-11 1109.56 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
399 Seattle** Win 13-3 828.07 Ignored Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
291 Pacific Lutheran Win 12-8 1144.53 Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
326 Western Washington University-B Win 13-6 1181.73 Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
291 Pacific Lutheran** Win 15-6 1303.37 Ignored Mar 3rd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
168 Whitworth Win 15-7 1687.23 Mar 3rd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
241 Washington-B Win 11-9 1137.68 Mar 3rd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
291 Pacific Lutheran** Win 13-5 1303.37 Ignored Mar 30th 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
121 Puget Sound Win 13-11 1509.86 Mar 30th 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
192 Gonzaga Win 12-8 1463.7 Mar 30th 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
326 Western Washington University-B** Win 13-4 1181.73 Ignored Mar 30th 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
104 Portland Win 13-11 1568 Mar 31st 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
280 Idaho Win 13-7 1311.76 Mar 31st 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
192 Gonzaga Win 13-8 1518.7 Mar 31st 2019 NW Challenge Tier 2 3
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)