#55 Oregon State (11-17)

avg: 1518.18  •  sd: 36.51  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
121 Puget Sound Win 9-8 1381.91 Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
226 Western Washington-B** Win 13-3 1437.24 Ignored Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
354 Washington-C** Win 13-0 954.31 Ignored Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
271 Central Washington** Win 13-3 1306.87 Ignored Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
146 Nevada-Reno Win 10-6 1645.46 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
205 Gonzaga Win 13-6 1525.34 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
35 Air Force Loss 9-10 1514.57 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
60 Cornell Win 10-9 1598.23 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
148 San Diego State Win 13-7 1704.61 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
143 California-San Diego Win 13-9 1579.48 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
5 Washington Loss 7-12 1530.9 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
65 California-Santa Barbara Loss 10-11 1337.37 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
38 Southern California Win 12-9 1979.26 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
32 California Loss 9-12 1350.43 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
24 Western Washington Loss 9-12 1396.7 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
5 Washington Loss 6-12 1472.1 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
20 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 13-14 1718.12 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2018
2 Carleton College Loss 6-13 1628.2 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2018
43 British Columbia Win 12-11 1719.64 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2018
6 Brown Loss 7-13 1489.18 Mar 4th Stanford Invite 2018
19 Colorado Loss 9-11 1601.75 Mar 4th Stanford Invite 2018
32 California Loss 10-13 1367.66 Mar 4th Stanford Invite 2018
3 Oregon Loss 6-13 1588.77 Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
15 Stanford Loss 7-13 1328.1 Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
25 Victoria Loss 10-13 1403.59 Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
18 Brigham Young Loss 6-13 1253.38 Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
17 Colorado State Loss 13-15 1655.58 Mar 25th NW Challenge 2018
38 Southern California Loss 11-14 1320.56 Mar 25th NW Challenge 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)