#27 Texas State (19-4)

avg: 1721.16  •  sd: 67.34  •  top 16/20: 8.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
123 Nebraska Win 15-5 1850.43 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
170 Kansas State** Win 12-4 1659.64 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
82 Oklahoma State Win 11-8 1772.8 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
305 Oklahoma-B** Win 13-5 1161.22 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
287 Central Arkansas** Win 13-1 1241.28 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
217 Texas Christian** Win 15-1 1488.31 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
336 Texas-Dallas-B** Win 13-3 1024.3 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
112 Texas Tech Win 15-9 1800.56 Feb 4th Big D in Little d Open 2018
26 Texas-Dallas Win 13-11 1957.86 Feb 4th Big D in Little d Open 2018
70 Arkansas Win 10-6 1935.69 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
139 Luther Win 11-2 1768.04 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
82 Oklahoma State Win 9-6 1825.76 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
130 North Texas Win 11-6 1738.83 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
70 Arkansas Win 15-10 1893.14 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
82 Oklahoma State Win 15-6 2007.19 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
130 North Texas Win 15-4 1792.13 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
40 Iowa Win 10-8 1887.48 Mar 10th Mens Centex 2018
31 LSU Loss 8-9 1574.56 Mar 10th Mens Centex 2018
39 Northwestern Win 13-9 2047.26 Mar 10th Mens Centex 2018
112 Texas Tech Win 11-7 1751.97 Mar 10th Mens Centex 2018
44 Illinois Loss 8-15 1024.22 Mar 11th Mens Centex 2018
29 Texas Loss 7-14 1128.21 Mar 11th Mens Centex 2018
21 Texas A&M Loss 9-12 1476.69 Mar 11th Mens Centex 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)