#55 Virginia Tech (8-8)

avg: 1466.95  •  sd: 54.9  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
35 Northeastern Loss 9-13 1212.79 Feb 14th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
31 Texas-Dallas Loss 7-10 1307.61 Feb 14th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
18 Tufts Loss 8-12 1402.5 Feb 14th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
47 Auburn Loss 11-13 1298.77 Feb 15th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
62 Florida Loss 10-11 1293.86 Feb 15th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
153 Florida State Win 11-6 1550.4 Feb 15th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
29 Wisconsin Loss 6-13 1104.95 Feb 15th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
172 South Florida Win 13-9 1361.52 Feb 16th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
69 Texas A&M Win 13-10 1712.73 Feb 16th Florida Warm Up 2020 Weekend 1
83 Penn State Loss 8-9 1184.42 Feb 29th Easterns Qualifier 2020
26 South Carolina Loss 9-11 1495.72 Feb 29th Easterns Qualifier 2020
161 Georgia State Win 13-4 1588.49 Feb 29th Easterns Qualifier 2020
24 Vermont Win 9-8 1908.02 Feb 29th Easterns Qualifier 2020
73 Carnegie Mellon Win 13-11 1595.3 Mar 1st Easterns Qualifier 2020
111 Maryland Win 12-6 1749.29 Mar 1st Easterns Qualifier 2020
67 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 13-11 1620.48 Mar 1st Easterns Qualifier 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)