#76 Puget Sound (11-2)

avg: 1347.71  •  sd: 85.9  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
148 Sonoma State Win 11-10 1132.81 Feb 8th Stanford Open 2020
54 California-Davis Loss 4-13 878.06 Feb 8th Stanford Open 2020
75 Nevada-Reno Win 9-8 1485.69 Feb 8th Stanford Open 2020
88 Claremont Loss 6-7 1158.92 Feb 8th Stanford Open 2020
203 Cal Poly-SLO-B Win 7-6 948.79 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2020
302 Santa Clara-B** Win 10-2 916.06 Ignored Feb 9th Stanford Open 2020
85 Humboldt State Win 5-4 1432.34 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2020
327 George Fox** Win 13-4 737.63 Ignored Mar 7th PLU BBQ 2020
260 Oregon State-B** Win 13-4 1167.63 Ignored Mar 7th PLU BBQ 2020
168 Lewis & Clark Win 13-6 1565.3 Mar 7th PLU BBQ 2020
109 Washington State Win 13-9 1597.66 Mar 8th PLU BBQ 2020
168 Lewis & Clark Win 12-7 1485.82 Mar 8th PLU BBQ 2020
154 Pacific Lutheran Win 11-6 1546.13 Mar 8th PLU BBQ 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)