#190 Berry (6-7)

avg: 878.38  •  sd: 67.52  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
194 Kennesaw State Loss 10-13 530.41 Jan 25th Clutch Classic 2020
300 Belmont University Win 12-5 939.97 Jan 25th Clutch Classic 2020
342 Kentucky-B** Win 13-3 596.97 Ignored Jan 25th Clutch Classic 2020
176 Xavier Win 11-10 1052.06 Jan 25th Clutch Classic 2020
191 Georgia College Loss 9-10 744.82 Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2020
197 Georgia Southern Loss 8-9 711.26 Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2020
116 Franciscan Loss 9-13 734.64 Feb 29th FCS D III Tune Up 2020
291 Wooster Win 13-6 1009.48 Feb 29th FCS D III Tune Up 2020
97 Richmond Loss 9-11 983.5 Feb 29th FCS D III Tune Up 2020
155 North Carolina-Asheville Loss 10-13 669.01 Feb 29th FCS D III Tune Up 2020
162 Air Force Win 13-8 1478.29 Mar 1st FCS D III Tune Up 2020
322 High Point Win 13-8 685.03 Mar 1st FCS D III Tune Up 2020
122 Portland Loss 11-13 900.33 Mar 1st FCS D III Tune Up 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)