#148 San Diego State (13-13)

avg: 1147.07  •  sd: 71.69  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
100 Arizona Win 12-8 1776.63 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
20 Cal Poly-SLO** Loss 5-13 1243.12 Ignored Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
17 Colorado State Loss 6-13 1269.76 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
67 Utah Loss 8-13 961.81 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
111 Arizona State Win 13-9 1707.78 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
65 California-Santa Barbara Loss 10-13 1134.23 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
60 Cornell Loss 2-13 873.23 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
55 Oregon State Loss 7-13 960.65 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
5 Washington** Loss 4-13 1451.41 Ignored Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
143 California-San Diego Win 9-7 1440.25 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
53 UCLA Loss 4-15 934.42 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
211 Utah State Win 11-10 1032.84 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
44 Illinois Loss 7-11 1122.13 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
65 California-Santa Barbara Win 10-6 1958.53 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
146 Nevada-Reno Loss 6-10 653.14 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
208 Occidental Win 13-5 1520.5 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
355 Colorado Mesa University** Win 13-3 954.28 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
329 California-Irvine** Win 13-5 1064.87 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
156 Colorado-Denver Win 9-5 1635.97 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
235 Arizona State-B Win 15-2 1402.66 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
67 Utah Loss 3-15 857.97 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
159 Colorado-B Win 12-7 1615.07 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
218 Rensselaer Polytech Loss 10-12 640.57 Mar 31st New England Open 2018
307 Rhode Island Win 11-9 808.95 Mar 31st New England Open 2018
254 New Hampshire Loss 12-13 635.58 Mar 31st New England Open 2018
327 Keene State Win 13-8 966.45 Mar 31st New England Open 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)