#183 Yale (12-3)

avg: 911.15  •  sd: 67.63  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
261 Northeastern-B Win 7-5 891.69 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
257 Massachusetts-Lowell Win 9-7 876.23 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
323 Swarthmore Win 11-5 776.61 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
182 Amherst College Loss 10-11 791.74 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
232 Stevens Tech Win 15-10 1172.5 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
307 SUNY-Cortland** Win 13-5 885.68 Ignored Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
252 West Chester Win 13-8 1113.24 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 10 2020
280 College of New Jersey Win 6-4 814.27 Mar 7th The Culture 2020
180 SUNY-Albany Loss 4-8 356.77 Mar 7th The Culture 2020
320 Delaware-B** Win 13-1 797.21 Ignored Mar 7th The Culture 2020
167 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 7-11 504.55 Mar 7th The Culture 2020
180 SUNY-Albany Win 12-7 1442.09 Mar 8th The Culture 2020
167 SUNY-Buffalo Win 9-8 1096.45 Mar 8th The Culture 2020
193 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 10-8 1123.27 Mar 8th The Culture 2020
254 Tufts-B Win 9-8 740.35 Mar 8th The Culture 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)