#406 South Florida-B (2-11)

avg: -42.48  •  sd: 89.82  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
180 Pittsburgh-B** Loss 1-13 411.89 Ignored Feb 16th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
359 Northwestern-B Loss 4-11 -255.31 Feb 16th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
367 Florida Atlantic Loss 7-13 -241.8 Feb 16th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
410 Florida Tech-B Loss 4-13 -674.24 Feb 16th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
216 North Florida Loss 7-13 340.07 Feb 17th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
230 Florida State-B** Loss 3-13 228.17 Ignored Feb 17th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
309 Embry-Riddle (Florida) Loss 4-15 -42.6 Feb 18th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
410 Florida Tech-B Win 15-5 525.76 Feb 18th Warm Up A Florida Affair 2018
383 Indiana-B Loss 8-13 -284.39 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
230 Florida State-B** Loss 1-13 228.17 Ignored Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
295 Georgia Tech-B** Loss 1-13 -3.4 Ignored Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
315 Florida Gulf Coast Loss 4-13 -70.72 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
410 Florida Tech-B Win 11-8 291.37 Mar 11th Tally Classic XIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)