#72 Lehigh (9-4)

avg: 1372.45  •  sd: 65.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
118 Navy Win 13-12 1259.33 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
178 North Carolina-B Win 12-10 1163.96 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
244 Christopher Newport** Win 13-5 1267.08 Ignored Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
24 Vermont Loss 9-13 1364.45 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
34 James Madison Loss 9-15 1139.26 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
123 Virginia Commonwealth University Win 15-11 1509.56 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
110 Villanova Win 14-7 1759.74 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
113 Pennsylvania Win 10-9 1294.24 Feb 22nd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
151 George Washington Win 13-8 1502.75 Feb 22nd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
66 Georgetown Loss 11-13 1164 Feb 22nd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
209 Pittsburgh-B Win 13-8 1308.33 Feb 23rd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
66 Georgetown Loss 12-15 1092.34 Feb 23rd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
79 Liberty Win 14-7 1904.11 Feb 23rd Oak Creek Challenge 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)