#119 Christopher Newport (1-6)

avg: 586.49  •  sd: 166.91  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
25 Lehigh** Loss 5-13 813.18 Ignored Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
73 North Carolina-B Loss 5-13 384.77 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
5 Vermont** Loss 4-13 1209.74 Ignored Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
62 Virginia Commonwealth University Win 12-9 1436.03 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
92 George Mason Loss 10-15 391.31 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
98 American Loss 10-13 465.92 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
91 Williams Loss 6-15 254.4 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warmup 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)