#172 Colby (8-3)

avg: 1035.77  •  sd: 137.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
434 MIT-B** Win 13-1 -141.44 Ignored Mar 3rd Atlantic City 7 2018
178 Shippensburg Loss 8-9 894.86 Mar 3rd Atlantic City 7 2018
323 Rowan-B Win 9-6 912.13 Mar 3rd Atlantic City 7 2018
166 MIT Loss 8-9 941.51 Mar 4th Atlantic City 7 2018
281 Navy Win 12-6 1244.71 Mar 4th Atlantic City 7 2018
361 Saint Joseph's University** Win 13-2 940.73 Ignored Mar 4th Atlantic City 7 2018
302 Salisbury Win 13-0 1174.53 Mar 4th Atlantic City 7 2018
415 Stockton** Win 13-1 462.08 Ignored Mar 4th Atlantic City 7 2018
119 Bates Loss 10-12 1026.51 Mar 11th Great Falls Invitational 2018
- Bates-B** Win 13-4 389.25 Ignored Mar 11th Great Falls Invitational 2018
374 Maine-Farmington** Win 13-4 885.41 Ignored Mar 11th Great Falls Invitational 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)