#138 Missouri S&T (8-5)

avg: 1230.09  •  sd: 80.42  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
85 Richmond Loss 8-13 933.54 Mar 2nd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
253 Anderson Win 13-1 1443.09 Mar 2nd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
183 Oberlin Win 13-8 1538.12 Mar 2nd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
182 Messiah Loss 12-13 917.84 Mar 2nd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
91 Mary Washington Loss 8-13 886.35 Mar 3rd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
113 Davidson Win 10-8 1564.56 Mar 3rd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
247 Xavier Win 13-9 1293.31 Mar 3rd FCS D III Tune Up 2019
104 Portland Loss 5-7 1011.02 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
- Grinnell Win 9-5 1223.15 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
303 Ohio Northern Win 12-10 890.32 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
70 St Olaf Loss 7-8 1375.54 Mar 10th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
276 North Park Win 9-6 1188.21 Mar 10th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
71 Michigan Tech Win 7-5 1819.13 Mar 10th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)