#207 Wisconsin-Eau Claire (2-11)

avg: 498.84  •  sd: 49.62  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
137 Illinois Loss 3-9 336.64 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
141 Iowa Loss 1-10 306.31 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
181 Arkansas Loss 7-9 349.85 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
72 Texas-Dallas** Loss 3-9 726.4 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
172 Northern Iowa Loss 4-4 724.75 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
264 Northwestern-B Win 5-3 415.04 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
114 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 3-9 452.38 Mar 9th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
160 DePaul Loss 4-5 689.05 Mar 10th D III Midwestern Invite 2019
- Charleston Win 11-3 538.98 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
70 Maryland Loss 6-12 748.95 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
87 Auburn** Loss 5-15 635.26 Ignored Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
64 Carleton College-Eclipse** Loss 5-15 805.19 Ignored Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
122 Georgia College Loss 3-14 423.21 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)