#206 Missouri (5-7)

avg: 818.69  •  sd: 67.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
251 Tulsa Win 7-3 1018.35 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
124 Carleton College-Eclipse Loss 3-7 752.52 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
161 Saint Louis Loss 5-7 799.55 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
212 Missouri State Loss 6-7 660.45 Feb 24th Dust Bowl 2018
166 Oklahoma Loss 7-10 680.19 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
234 Kansas State Win 9-5 1126.72 Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
263 Hendrix** Win 13-1 665.01 Ignored Feb 25th Dust Bowl 2018
108 Wisconsin-Eau Claire** Loss 2-14 847.12 Ignored Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
168 Luther Loss 4-12 459.36 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
156 Missouri S&T Loss 1-15 542.48 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
251 Tulsa Win 10-6 914.51 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
198 Marquette Win 10-7 1298.46 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)