#27 Notre Dame (14-5)

avg: 1556.17  •  sd: 115.17  •  top 16/20: 21.2%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
46 Florida State Win 9-8 1484.02 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up1
1 North Carolina** Loss 5-15 2211.43 Ignored Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up1
60 William & Mary Win 13-6 1759.58 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up1
26 Minnesota Loss 9-10 1439.32 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up1
38 Chicago Win 10-8 1717.32 Feb 12th Queen City Tune Up1
47 Washington University Win 12-5 1955.16 Feb 12th Queen City Tune Up1
28 South Carolina Loss 6-15 941.36 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
65 Carnegie Mellon Win 15-7 1722.67 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
61 Tennessee Win 15-4 1756.5 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
28 South Carolina Win 11-7 2008.25 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
35 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 10-11 1364.16 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
40 Georgia Win 11-10 1538.2 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
34 Michigan Win 8-7 1622.72 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
212 South Florida** Win 13-1 301.99 Ignored Mar 11th Tally Classic XVII
93 Clemson Win 10-5 1513.18 Mar 11th Tally Classic XVII
208 Florida Tech** Win 13-0 414.44 Ignored Mar 11th Tally Classic XVII
168 Jacksonville State** Win 13-1 893.27 Ignored Mar 11th Tally Classic XVII
38 Chicago Loss 13-14 1329.66 Mar 12th Tally Classic XVII
93 Clemson Win 10-7 1328.95 Mar 12th Tally Classic XVII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)