#176 Occidental (5-9)

avg: 1010.03  •  sd: 71.23  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
138 Santa Clara Loss 3-10 659.54 Feb 18th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
136 Cal State-Long Beach Loss 4-5 1146.41 Feb 18th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
249 California-B Win 7-4 920.96 Feb 18th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
200 Nevada-Reno Win 9-4 1483.18 Feb 19th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
138 Santa Clara Loss 6-13 659.54 Feb 19th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
136 Cal State-Long Beach Loss 3-10 671.41 Feb 19th Santa Clara Tournament 2018
228 New Mexico Win 11-3 1277.57 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
100 Arizona State Loss 7-9 1226.9 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
197 Arizona-B Win 7-5 1243.06 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
- Utah State Win 11-1 1198.41 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
138 Santa Clara Loss 5-7 931.4 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
111 California-Irvine Loss 3-6 886.65 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
63 Arizona** Loss 1-11 1186.23 Ignored Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
138 Santa Clara Loss 3-7 659.54 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)