#241 Cornell-B (4-15)

avg: 228.44  •  sd: 59.92  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
163 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 5-13 182.43 Mar 9th Delaware The Main Event 2019
70 Maryland** Loss 1-15 728.26 Ignored Mar 9th Delaware The Main Event 2019
65 Massachusetts** Loss 1-15 796.29 Ignored Mar 9th Delaware The Main Event 2019
131 Rutgers** Loss 1-15 390.5 Ignored Mar 9th Delaware The Main Event 2019
163 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 5-7 454.29 Mar 10th Delaware The Main Event 2019
161 Drexel Loss 4-9 210.99 Mar 10th Delaware The Main Event 2019
227 Delaware-B Win 6-5 481.49 Mar 10th Delaware The Main Event 2019
248 Johns Hopkins University Loss 6-7 37.52 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 8
256 College of New Jersey Loss 3-4 -15.07 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 8
231 Pennsylvania-B Loss 6-7 192.18 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 8
253 Wellesley-B Loss 7-8 -5.46 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 8
248 Johns Hopkins University Win 7-6 287.52 Mar 24th Jersey Devil 8
106 Lehigh Loss 5-10 505.74 Mar 24th Jersey Devil 8
253 Wellesley-B Win 7-2 719.54 Mar 24th Jersey Devil 8
203 Wake Forest Loss 7-9 229.17 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
164 Pittsburgh-B Loss 4-9 179.09 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
179 Davidson Loss 5-8 191.97 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
280 Swarthmore-B** Win 15-0 202.07 Ignored Mar 31st I 85 Rodeo 2019
203 Wake Forest Loss 4-11 -91.49 Mar 31st I 85 Rodeo 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)