#133 George Mason (7-6)

avg: 513.26  •  sd: 88.61  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
112 Richmond Win 10-9 850.19 Feb 8th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
179 Christopher Newport** Win 14-1 202.79 Ignored Feb 8th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
163 George Washington-B Win 11-3 600.88 Feb 8th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
130 American Loss 9-10 441.48 Feb 8th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
159 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 10-4 744.74 Feb 9th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
187 Towson-B** Win 15-0 -368.56 Ignored Feb 9th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
89 Towson Loss 6-15 344.84 Feb 9th TowsonTown Throwdown 2020
143 Pittsburgh-B Win 10-7 778.42 Feb 15th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
168 Virginia-B** Win 13-5 455.49 Ignored Feb 15th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
115 Swarthmore Loss 8-11 338.97 Feb 15th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
82 Boston College Loss 5-12 419.65 Feb 15th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
120 Maryland Loss 11-12 499.92 Feb 16th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
118 Catholic Loss 6-10 150.34 Feb 16th Commonwealth Cup 2020 Weekend 1
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)