#202 Colorado School of Mines (4-10)

avg: 531.74  •  sd: 67.91  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- Oklahoma State Loss 10-15 138.36 Mar 10th Dust Bowl 2019
88 John Brown** Loss 1-15 626.55 Ignored Mar 10th Dust Bowl 2019
162 Nebraska Loss 5-13 196.75 Mar 10th Dust Bowl 2019
116 Air Force Loss 7-12 526.7 Mar 16th Air Force Invite 2019
74 Denver Loss 6-8 1021.39 Mar 16th Air Force Invite 2019
175 Kansas Loss 6-11 170.55 Mar 16th Air Force Invite 2019
116 Air Force Loss 4-12 447.21 Mar 17th Air Force Invite 2019
73 Northern Arizona** Loss 4-10 724.82 Ignored Mar 23rd Trouble in Vegas 2019
232 California-Irvine Win 13-5 886.61 Mar 23rd Trouble in Vegas 2019
224 Sonoma State Win 7-6 488.71 Mar 23rd Trouble in Vegas 2019
243 Colorado-B Win 7-4 686.95 Mar 23rd Trouble in Vegas 2019
118 Arizona Loss 4-7 543.56 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2019
86 San Diego State** Loss 3-13 642.2 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2019
224 Sonoma State Win 10-7 753.37 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)