#92 Lehigh (7-5)

avg: 941.83  •  sd: 111.58  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
53 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Win 11-7 1736.65 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
82 Dartmouth Loss 7-11 529.88 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
117 SUNY-Geneseo Win 12-10 962.43 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
53 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Loss 4-11 669.76 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
101 Ithaca Win 8-7 984.56 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
124 Syracuse Win 9-2 1277.36 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
53 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Loss 5-9 740.7 Mar 25th Garden State1
101 Ithaca Win 7-5 1187.7 Mar 25th Garden State1
95 Columbia Loss 6-10 437.16 Mar 25th Garden State1
53 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Loss 2-11 669.76 Mar 26th Garden State1
95 Columbia Win 8-2 1533.32 Mar 26th Garden State1
128 Rochester Win 8-7 790.46 Mar 26th Garden State1
**Blowout Eligible


The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)