#133 Haverford (7-4)

avg: 978.63  •  sd: 122.54  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
97 Swarthmore Win 8-6 1453.34 Mar 24th Hucktastic Spring 2019
97 Swarthmore Loss 7-9 873.51 Mar 24th Hucktastic Spring 2019
280 Swarthmore-B** Win 11-0 202.07 Ignored Mar 24th Hucktastic Spring 2019
- Jefferson** Win 9-2 99.08 Ignored Mar 24th Hucktastic Spring 2019
257 Millersville** Win 13-0 699.08 Ignored Mar 24th Hucktastic Spring 2019
67 Yale Loss 4-15 783.49 Mar 30th West Chester Ram Jam 2019
41 Harvard Loss 1-15 967.65 Mar 30th West Chester Ram Jam 2019
227 Delaware-B Win 10-5 930.39 Mar 30th West Chester Ram Jam 2019
56 Pennsylvania Loss 4-8 922.55 Mar 30th West Chester Ram Jam 2019
257 Millersville** Win 9-3 699.08 Ignored Mar 31st West Chester Ram Jam 2019
231 Pennsylvania-B** Win 10-4 917.18 Ignored Mar 31st West Chester Ram Jam 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)