#98 Colorado College (10-8)

avg: 913.55  •  sd: 71.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
176 Colorado-B** Win 11-4 706.24 Ignored Feb 18th Snow Melt 2023
158 Colorado Mines Win 11-4 922.34 Feb 18th Snow Melt 2023
126 Arizona Win 11-2 1271.24 Feb 18th Snow Melt 2023
57 Whitman Loss 5-7 991.32 Feb 19th Snow Melt 2023
139 Denver Win 8-1 1149.81 Feb 19th Snow Melt 2023
124 John Brown Win 9-2 1297.96 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2023
52 Winona State Loss 1-7 744.71 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2023
151 Luther Win 11-6 949.96 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2023
- Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 8-7 429.66 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2023
107 Iowa Loss 8-10 584.32 Mar 5th Midwest Throwdown 2023
145 Macalester Win 9-5 1011.36 Mar 5th Midwest Throwdown 2023
95 Southern California Win 13-8 1425.31 Mar 18th Womens Centex1
80 Boston University Loss 11-13 830.87 Mar 18th Womens Centex1
16 Middlebury** Loss 5-13 1198.18 Ignored Mar 18th Womens Centex1
51 Florida Loss 3-13 751.31 Mar 18th Womens Centex1
95 Southern California Loss 3-10 329.15 Mar 19th Womens Centex1
123 Texas A&M Loss 13-14 586.05 Mar 19th Womens Centex1
107 Iowa Win 15-8 1411.79 Mar 19th Womens Centex1
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)