#110 West Virginia (9-3)

avg: 1433.65  •  sd: 99.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 Towson Loss 6-14 1314.84 Feb 24th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
246 Georgetown-B** Win 15-4 1081.64 Ignored Feb 24th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
184 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 14-8 1493.03 Feb 24th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
128 Rutgers Loss 10-12 1069.71 Feb 25th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
127 American Win 12-10 1547.42 Feb 25th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
246 Georgetown-B** Win 13-4 1081.64 Ignored Feb 25th Towsontown Throwdown 2018
172 Swarthmore Win 8-6 1345.57 Mar 24th Country Roads Classic 2018
252 Johns Hopkins** Win 13-0 1010.58 Ignored Mar 24th Country Roads Classic 2018
245 George Mason University** Win 13-1 1094.17 Ignored Mar 24th Country Roads Classic 2018
94 George Washington Loss 5-9 1009.1 Mar 24th Country Roads Classic 2018
172 Swarthmore Win 9-4 1645.08 Mar 25th Country Roads Classic 2018
94 George Washington Win 7-3 2138.16 Mar 25th Country Roads Classic 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)