#196 Idaho (1-13)

avg: 926.06  •  sd: 83.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
213 Pacific Lutheran-B Win 13-6 1385.13 Feb 24th PLU BBQ 2018
126 Portland Loss 3-13 713.7 Feb 24th PLU BBQ 2018
113 Portland State Loss 5-13 830.26 Feb 24th PLU BBQ 2018
118 Lewis & Clark Loss 5-7 1068.31 Feb 24th PLU BBQ 2018
213 Pacific Lutheran-B Loss 0-13 185.13 Feb 25th PLU BBQ 2018
65 Utah** Loss 2-12 1181.92 Ignored Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
68 Boise State Loss 6-9 1344.08 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
- Montana State Loss 9-15 722.46 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
65 Utah** Loss 4-11 1181.92 Ignored Mar 4th Big Sky Brawl 2018
76 Pacific Lutheran** Loss 3-15 1092.71 Ignored Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
67 Puget Sound** Loss 3-15 1168.81 Ignored Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
136 Cal State-Long Beach Loss 8-9 1146.41 Mar 24th NW Challenge 2018
103 Claremont Loss 8-14 955.18 Mar 25th NW Challenge 2018
72 Simon Fraser University** Loss 5-15 1129 Ignored Mar 25th NW Challenge 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)