#221 Michigan-B (7-9)

avg: 709.51  •  sd: 93.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
260 Oberlin-B Win 6-5 362.12 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
260 Oberlin-B Win 9-4 837.12 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
219 Ohio State-B Win 7-5 1069.3 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
219 Ohio State-B Loss 5-8 287.55 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
177 Vermont-B Win 7-4 1503.25 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
177 Vermont-B Loss 3-8 407.09 Mar 10th Spades Tournament II
211 Wheaton (Illinois) Loss 3-9 187.2 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
132 Cincinnati Loss 3-9 683.67 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
192 Ohio Wesleyan Win 9-8 1056.92 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
139 Michigan State Loss 1-10 654.26 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2018
259 Eastern Michigan University Win 6-5 362.16 Mar 25th CWRUL Memorial 2018
217 Southern Indiana Loss 2-12 157.42 Mar 25th CWRUL Memorial 2018
143 Truman State Loss 5-8 777.22 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2018
190 Knox Win 8-7 1063.21 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2018
114 Nebraska Loss 4-8 841.96 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2018
104 Denver Loss 6-9 1062.94 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)