#47 Harvard (10-4)

avg: 1977.97  •  sd: 108.32  •  top 16/20: 0.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
25 Notre Dame Loss 7-11 1672.81 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
231 Tulane** Win 15-2 1239.41 Ignored Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
40 Kennesaw State Win 10-9 2142.59 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
23 Auburn Loss 11-15 1827.69 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
243 Georgia State** Win 11-2 1105.1 Ignored Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
40 Kennesaw State Loss 9-15 1502.11 Mar 11th Tally Classic XIII
46 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 11-12 1853.21 Mar 11th Tally Classic XIII
83 Brandeis Win 8-5 2073.22 Mar 24th Spring Awakening 2018
56 Connecticut Win 11-6 2385.68 Mar 24th Spring Awakening 2018
93 Cornell Win 9-4 2140.61 Mar 24th Spring Awakening 2018
83 Brandeis Win 7-6 1744.62 Mar 25th Spring Awakening 2018
64 Columbia Win 8-7 1908.95 Mar 25th Spring Awakening 2018
56 Connecticut Win 12-5 2438.99 Mar 25th Spring Awakening 2018
175 Ithaca** Win 10-3 1611.89 Ignored Mar 25th Spring Awakening 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)