#35 SUNY-Binghamton (12-3)

avg: 1489.16  •  sd: 100.32  •  top 16/20: 6.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
95 Columbia Win 13-5 1533.32 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
14 Virginia Win 10-9 1933.64 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
10 Northeastern Loss 6-8 1709.83 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
57 Penn State Win 13-8 1721.08 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
27 Notre Dame Win 11-10 1681.17 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
44 Pennsylvania Loss 6-10 871.42 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
57 Penn State Win 12-3 1824.92 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
13 Pittsburgh Loss 8-11 1445.01 Feb 26th Commonwealth Cup Weekend2 2023
134 Brandeis Win 9-4 1212.61 Mar 25th New England Open1
164 Connecticut** Win 8-2 941.44 Ignored Mar 25th New England Open1
188 Bowdoin** Win 11-2 716.78 Ignored Mar 25th New England Open1
73 Boston University Win 9-7 1336.14 Mar 25th New England Open1
116 Harvard Win 5-4 854.88 Mar 26th New England Open1
87 Mount Holyoke Win 7-3 1555.33 Mar 26th New England Open1
31 Wellesley Win 5-4 1652.28 Mar 26th New England Open1
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)