#179 Smith (2-6)

avg: 1002.91  •  sd: 67.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
145 Liberty Loss 10-12 975.9 Mar 10th Mash Up 2018
74 Massachusetts** Loss 4-15 1111.04 Ignored Mar 10th Mash Up 2018
218 Elon Win 15-8 1309.76 Mar 10th Mash Up 2018
145 Liberty Loss 7-11 747.13 Mar 11th Mash Up 2018
218 Elon Win 14-11 1058.29 Mar 11th Mash Up 2018
71 Bowdoin** Loss 3-13 1137.5 Ignored Mar 31st New England Open 2018
53 Wesleyan** Loss 2-13 1305.1 Ignored Mar 31st New England Open 2018
97 New Hampshire Loss 5-11 923.92 Mar 31st New England Open 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)