#1 Carleton College (12-0)

avg: 2514.9  •  sd: 86.22  •  top 16/20: 100%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Michigan** Win 13-3 2330.66 Ignored Feb 8th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
46 Pennsylvania** Win 13-2 2070.4 Ignored Feb 8th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
56 North Carolina-Wilmington** Win 13-0 1984.72 Ignored Feb 8th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
12 Virginia Win 13-6 2635.27 Feb 8th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
3 Tufts Win 11-10 2393.54 Feb 9th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
2 North Carolina Win 12-9 2831.87 Feb 9th Queen City Tune Up 2020 Women
14 UCLA Win 10-8 2250.95 Mar 7th Stanford Invite 2020
58 California-Santa Cruz** Win 13-2 1966.65 Ignored Mar 7th Stanford Invite 2020
13 Pittsburgh Win 9-6 2413.38 Mar 7th Stanford Invite 2020
3 Tufts Win 13-10 2596.68 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2020
9 Stanford Win 13-7 2662.68 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2020
19 Colorado Win 12-8 2377.2 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2020
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)