#104 Boston College (7-7)

avg: 1094.98  •  sd: 83.76  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
87 Auburn Loss 8-10 972.59 Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2019
254 Georgia Tech-B** Win 13-0 715.46 Ignored Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2019
189 Tulane Win 10-5 1167.88 Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2019
180 Georgia State Win 11-2 1230.73 Jan 26th Clutch Classic 2019
98 Mississippi State Win 9-1 1728.15 Jan 27th Clutch Classic 2019
36 Vanderbilt Loss 6-10 1177.12 Jan 27th Clutch Classic 2019
93 Kennesaw State Loss 7-11 721.15 Jan 27th Clutch Classic 2019
81 Ohio Loss 5-12 668.3 Mar 23rd CWRUL Memorial 2019
79 Ball State Loss 7-10 883.63 Mar 23rd CWRUL Memorial 2019
91 Case Western Reserve Loss 8-10 940 Mar 23rd CWRUL Memorial 2019
58 Penn State Loss 7-10 1061.38 Mar 23rd CWRUL Memorial 2019
262 Michigan-B** Win 15-0 634.6 Ignored Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2019
167 Knox Win 15-2 1369.94 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2019
151 Kentucky Win 13-7 1419.61 Mar 24th CWRUL Memorial 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)