#119 Rice (7-6)

avg: 942.13  •  sd: 89.21  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Tulane Loss 8-10 656.34 Feb 8th Antifreeze 2020
241 Houston** Win 11-4 260.88 Ignored Feb 8th Antifreeze 2020
149 Texas-B Win 9-6 1140.69 Feb 8th Antifreeze 2020
122 Tulane Win 10-7 1308.67 Feb 9th Antifreeze 2020
87 Texas A&M Loss 10-11 1036.1 Feb 9th Antifreeze 2020
184 Texas Christian Win 13-7 1000.72 Feb 9th Antifreeze 2020
142 Colorado-B Win 9-5 1324.06 Feb 22nd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
87 Texas A&M Loss 5-8 707.49 Feb 22nd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
77 Texas State Loss 5-11 640.46 Feb 22nd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
51 Texas-Dallas Loss 5-8 976.37 Feb 22nd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
179 Baylor Win 13-6 1077.23 Feb 23rd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
218 North Texas** Win 13-5 666.58 Ignored Feb 23rd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
142 Colorado-B Loss 5-7 466.86 Feb 23rd Big D in lil d 2020 Women
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)