#79 Chicago (5-12)

avg: 1653.38  •  sd: 69.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
33 UCLA Loss 8-13 1566.53 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
63 Arizona Win 12-10 2024.35 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
19 Vermont Loss 6-12 1684.17 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
33 UCLA Loss 8-13 1566.53 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
28 Washington University Loss 8-13 1617.73 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
55 Iowa State Loss 8-9 1721.46 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
4 Stanford** Loss 1-13 2095.52 Ignored Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
105 Chico State Win 9-5 2008.4 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
36 Colorado College Loss 5-13 1433.18 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
61 California-Davis Win 8-6 2118.41 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
43 Southern California Loss 6-7 1865.28 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
55 Iowa State Loss 7-10 1456.79 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
57 Kansas Loss 7-12 1316.03 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
28 Washington University Loss 4-10 1513.89 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
89 Iowa Win 13-11 1799.32 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2018
96 St Olaf Win 9-6 1944.62 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
112 Illinois Loss 9-12 1085.69 Mar 4th Midwest Throwdown 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)