#82 Venom (3-7)

avg: 278.67  •  sd: 110.64  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
26 Vengeance** Loss 0-15 833.95 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Womens Texas Sectional Championship
32 Crush City** Loss 2-15 713.39 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Womens Texas Sectional Championship
101 Inferno Win 10-8 -14.35 Sep 9th 2023 Womens Texas Sectional Championship
91 Firewheel Win 14-5 674.38 Sep 10th 2023 Womens Texas Sectional Championship
101 Inferno Win 13-8 219.15 Sep 10th 2023 Womens Texas Sectional Championship
25 Colorado Small Batch** Loss 4-15 859.47 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Womens Regional
64 TWISTED Loss 7-9 410.41 Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Womens Regional
40 Hayride** Loss 1-12 477.74 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 South Central Womens Regional
70 COSMOS Loss 7-8 377.32 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Womens Regional
71 Jackwagon Loss 6-10 1.56 Sep 24th 2023 South Central Womens Regional
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)