#185 South Florida (7-13)

avg: 866.3  •  sd: 61.18  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
101 Cornell Loss 5-13 624.57 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
8 Vermont** Loss 1-13 1438.6 Ignored Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
21 Tufts** Loss 3-13 1228.7 Ignored Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
56 Emory Loss 5-13 847.58 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
97 Florida State Loss 7-15 647.77 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
19 Washington University** Loss 3-13 1265.17 Ignored Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
82 Central Florida Loss 4-15 737.27 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
201 Alabama-Birmingham Win 9-7 1106.2 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
173 Clemson Loss 9-10 814.13 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
324 Coastal Carolina** Win 13-4 826.15 Ignored Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
296 South Carolina-B Win 13-4 969.12 Feb 24th Joint Summit 2024
173 Clemson Loss 8-13 442.97 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
250 Georgia Tech-B Win 11-7 1094.75 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
250 Georgia Tech-B Win 13-6 1227.86 Feb 25th Joint Summit 2024
82 Central Florida Loss 9-10 1212.27 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
106 Notre Dame Loss 6-11 663.62 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
200 Spring Hill Win 10-9 953.24 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
201 Alabama-Birmingham Loss 9-11 577.66 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
75 Ave Maria Loss 1-13 759.58 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
200 Spring Hill Win 9-7 1107.57 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)