#20 Northeastern (11-9)

avg: 1830.32  •  sd: 48.57  •  top 16/20: 42%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
74 Cincinnati Win 13-6 1961.2 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
2 Georgia Loss 10-13 1944.67 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
42 Michigan Win 13-9 1984.99 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
9 Brown Loss 14-15 1900.07 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
82 Central Florida Win 13-2 1937.27 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
101 Cornell Win 13-6 1824.57 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
10 Carleton College Loss 14-15 1885.34 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
17 Brigham Young Loss 7-10 1485.77 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
67 Chicago Win 13-7 1944.55 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
41 Florida Loss 10-11 1446.02 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
40 Illinois Loss 12-13 1454.68 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
128 Colorado College Win 13-7 1693.53 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
53 Colorado State Win 13-8 1966.71 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
10 Carleton College Loss 11-13 1781.5 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 9-13 1816.4 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
13 North Carolina State Win 13-12 2071.6 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
29 South Carolina Loss 9-11 1434.7 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
36 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 13-10 1946.4 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
34 Ohio State Win 15-11 2023.03 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
33 Wisconsin Win 15-8 2210.31 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)