#49 Georgia Tech (10-3)

avg: 1632.2  •  sd: 161.98  •  top 16/20: 0.2%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
134 MIT Win 13-6 1512.25 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
70 James Madison Win 8-6 1720.07 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
47 Connecticut Win 8-7 1780.8 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
17 Pennsylvania Loss 4-13 1524.71 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
31 Brown Loss 5-10 1300.29 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
74 Harvard Win 9-5 1911.65 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
42 Purdue Win 10-8 1963.46 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
220 Florida Tech** Win 13-0 406.67 Ignored Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
225 Notre Dame-B** Win 13-3 172.23 Ignored Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
185 Tulane** Win 13-0 1020.75 Ignored Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
56 Florida Loss 11-12 1424.25 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
136 Florida State** Win 9-3 1510.04 Ignored Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
136 Florida State** Win 11-4 1510.04 Ignored Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)