#214 Texas-B (1-12)

avg: 50.33  •  sd: 94.36  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
198 Sam Houston Loss 4-5 126.73 Feb 17th Antifreeze 2024
201 Houston Loss 3-5 -201.46 Feb 17th Antifreeze 2024
153 Texas A&M** Loss 3-11 165.22 Ignored Feb 17th Antifreeze 2024
158 Texas State Loss 3-7 110.11 Feb 17th Antifreeze 2024
213 North Texas Loss 4-5 -71.81 Feb 18th Antifreeze 2024
186 Texas-San Antonio Loss 7-15 -192.98 Feb 18th Antifreeze 2024
211 LSU Loss 6-8 -218.59 Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
134 MIT** Loss 4-13 312.25 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
107 Rice** Loss 1-13 547.85 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
158 Texas State** Loss 3-13 110.11 Ignored Mar 16th Womens Centex 2024
134 MIT** Loss 0-8 312.25 Ignored Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
89 Trinity** Loss 4-10 694.64 Ignored Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
186 Texas-San Antonio Win 7-5 735.17 Mar 17th Womens Centex 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)