#210 Charleston (6-8)

avg: 776.87  •  sd: 102.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
376 Wisconsin-Eau Claire-B** Win 13-2 248.06 Ignored Mar 16th Southerns 2024
191 Georgia-B Win 10-8 1118.74 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
189 East Carolina Loss 3-8 262.04 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
276 Florida-B Loss 8-9 375.99 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
276 Florida-B Win 15-3 1100.99 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
95 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Loss 2-15 650.03 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
250 Georgia Tech-B Win 13-12 752.86 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
189 East Carolina Loss 2-9 262.04 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
174 North Carolina-Asheville Win 11-6 1483.17 Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
238 Wake Forest Loss 5-6 550.13 Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
64 Georgia State Loss 5-9 882.76 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
125 Davidson Loss 3-11 546.57 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
158 Kennesaw State Loss 7-10 621.05 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
235 North Carolina-B Win 11-6 1234.16 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)