#12 Raleigh-Durham United (22-6)

avg: 2006.62  •  sd: 54.79  •  top 16/20: 90.8%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
31 Garden State Ultimate Win 13-7 2233.65 Jun 24th Phantom Invite 2023
2 PoNY Win 12-9 2679.3 Jun 24th Phantom Invite 2023
38 Phantom Win 13-5 2224.98 Jun 24th Phantom Invite 2023
39 Pittsburgh Temper Win 13-4 2224.71 Jun 25th Phantom Invite 2023
110 CITYWIDE Special Win 13-6 1767.75 Jun 25th Phantom Invite 2023
9 Doublewide Loss 10-14 1708.11 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
51 TireBizFriz Win 13-10 1880.64 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
34 Trident I Win 15-7 2261.81 Jul 15th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
13 Vault Loss 12-14 1783.4 Jul 16th TCT Pro Elite Challenge East 2023
4 Chain Lightning Loss 11-13 1983.05 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
25 Mad Men Win 15-12 2057.77 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
20 Zyzzyva Loss 12-13 1735.21 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
31 Garden State Ultimate Win 13-8 2172.28 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
39 Pittsburgh Temper Win 14-6 2224.71 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
25 Mad Men Win 11-8 2122.88 Aug 20th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2023
35 baNC Win 13-10 1972.48 Sep 9th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
40 Cash Crop 2 Win 13-10 1948.52 Sep 9th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
101 Triumph Win 13-7 1770.26 Sep 9th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
210 Oakay** Win 13-0 1183.18 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
35 baNC Win 15-12 1944.83 Sep 10th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
138 Queen City Kings** Win 13-3 1595.15 Ignored Sep 10th 2023 Mens North Carolina Sectional Championship
37 Alliance Win 13-11 1856.22 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
35 baNC Win 15-7 2244.34 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
4 Chain Lightning Loss 7-13 1654.36 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
138 Queen City Kings** Win 13-3 1595.15 Ignored Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
6 Ring of Fire Loss 11-15 1799.49 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
40 Cash Crop 2 Win 15-9 2135.85 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
28 Tanasi Win 15-10 2186.05 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)