#37 Alliance (27-5)

avg: 1627.37  •  sd: 35.1  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
172 Memphis Pharaohs Win 11-5 1425.27 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
134 Dyno** Win 11-3 1626.16 Ignored Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
56 Little Red Wagon Loss 10-11 1372.91 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
144 Music City Mafia Win 11-9 1214.31 Jun 24th Huntsville Huckfest
89 Second Nature Win 11-7 1766.49 Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
198 Capitol City Chaos** Win 11-3 1296.2 Ignored Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
116 Atlanta Arson Win 11-5 1743.89 Jun 25th Huntsville Huckfest
138 Queen City Kings Win 12-8 1436.3 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
119 Tennessee Folklore Win 11-5 1700.59 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
64 Hooch Win 11-10 1573.57 Jul 8th Club Terminus 2023
30 Delirium Win 13-10 2006.82 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
88 Black Lung Win 13-8 1798.9 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
42 UpRoar Loss 10-12 1367.2 Jul 9th Club Terminus 2023
134 Dyno** Win 13-5 1626.16 Ignored Aug 5th Trestlemania V
93 Charleston Heat Stroke Win 11-9 1540.57 Aug 5th Trestlemania V
150 Nashville Mudcats** Win 13-5 1526.2 Ignored Aug 5th Trestlemania V
144 Music City Mafia Win 9-6 1383.67 Aug 5th Trestlemania V
150 Nashville Mudcats** Win 13-3 1526.2 Ignored Aug 6th Trestlemania V
116 Atlanta Arson Win 12-4 1743.89 Aug 6th Trestlemania V
64 Hooch Win 5-5 1448.57 Aug 6th Trestlemania V
146 Ronin** Win 13-4 1551.5 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
124 Battleship Win 13-7 1618.45 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
89 Second Nature Win 13-5 1899.6 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
172 Memphis Pharaohs** Win 13-4 1425.27 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
198 Capitol City Chaos Win 13-6 1296.2 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
89 Second Nature Win 13-8 1795.76 Sep 10th 2023 Mens Gulf Coast Sectional Championship
40 Cash Crop 2 Win 12-10 1858.5 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
12 Raleigh-Durham United Loss 11-13 1777.78 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
30 Delirium Loss 12-13 1553.68 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
85 Space Cowboys Win 15-7 1912.3 Sep 23rd 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
64 Hooch Win 15-13 1662.75 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
56 Little Red Wagon Loss 14-15 1372.91 Sep 24th 2023 Southeast Mens Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)