#235 Adelphos (2-9)

avg: 374.59  •  sd: 87.4  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
163 Crossfire Loss 3-13 259.38 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
189 Dirty Laundry Loss 7-10 358.5 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
252 Deepfake Win 10-6 545.78 Aug 26th The Incident 2023
115 Bomb Squad** Loss 2-13 544.34 Ignored Aug 26th The Incident 2023
202 Spring Break '93 Win 11-10 785.13 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
154 Odyssey Loss 5-13 294.28 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
209 Long Island Riff Raff Loss 8-13 93.38 Aug 27th The Incident 2023
160 Happy Valley Roofing and Mustache Supply Loss 7-13 313.56 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Founders Sectional Championship
31 Garden State Ultimate** Loss 3-13 1076.12 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Founders Sectional Championship
162 Delco Club Loss 8-13 367.67 Sep 9th 2023 Mens Founders Sectional Championship
91 Helots** Loss 1-7 694.88 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mens Founders Sectional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)