#217 Compost Plates (2-16)

avg: 402.26  •  sd: 62.96  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
207 Buffalo Brain Freeze Win 9-8 604.62 Jun 11th Rochester Round Robin
119 Mashed Loss 4-13 383.99 Jun 11th Rochester Round Robin
40 UNION** Loss 4-13 891.86 Ignored Jun 11th Rochester Round Robin
48 Townies Loss 5-11 802.86 Jun 11th Rochester Round Robin
114 One More Year Loss 3-13 398.32 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
97 Farm Show** Loss 3-13 455.09 Ignored Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
62 Funk** Loss 3-13 661.89 Ignored Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
242 Ultra Instinct Win 12-9 456.27 Aug 5th Philly Open 2023
201 Spice Loss 8-9 398.93 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
234 Voltage Loss 6-7 116.9 Aug 6th Philly Open 2023
96 Bench Loss 6-13 467.59 Aug 19th Ow My Knee 2023
48 Townies** Loss 0-13 802.86 Ignored Aug 19th Ow My Knee 2023
130 Zero Strategy Loss 4-13 291.48 Aug 19th Ow My Knee 2023
130 Zero Strategy Loss 1-7 291.48 Aug 19th Ow My Knee 2023
96 Bench** Loss 4-13 467.59 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Upstate New York Sectional Championship
84 Buffalo Lake Effect** Loss 4-13 530.22 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Upstate New York Sectional Championship
40 UNION** Loss 1-13 891.86 Ignored Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Upstate New York Sectional Championship
119 Mashed Loss 4-13 383.99 Sep 9th 2023 Mixed Upstate New York Sectional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)